Sentiment tightens, momentum decelerates, and volatility presses price toward our lower band.
Cardano ADA
Live chart
Interactive price across five timeframes — refreshed from CoinGecko on a ~60-second cadence.
Where ADA could go
Three 7-day scenarios from our deterministic model — momentum + mean-reversion to all-time high + volatility band + Fear & Greed overlay. Same inputs, same outputs. Read the methodology →
The model's central estimate. Smoothed momentum + mean-reversion target before scenario stress is applied.
Sentiment turns risk-on, momentum extends, and volatility carries price toward our upper band.
Eight horizons, three scenarios each, with the model's projected sentiment.
| Horizon | Bear | Base | Bull | Base vs spot | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24h | $0.158698 | $0.168827 | $0.178957 | -2.10% | Extreme Fear |
| 7 days | $0.140214 | $0.170993 | $0.201772 | -0.90% | Extreme Fear |
| 30 days | $0.114967 | $0.176873 | $0.238778 | +2.50% | Extreme Fear |
| 3 months | $0.090027 | $0.200060 | $0.310093 | +16.00% | Extreme Fear |
| 6 months | $0.289440 | $1.45 | $2.60 | +739.00% | Extreme Fear |
| 1 year | $0.001725 | $2.00 | $4.51 | +1,061.80% | Extreme Fear |
| 2026 EOY | $0.017248 | $0.172481 | $0.327714 | 0.00% | Extreme Fear |
| 2030 EOY | $0.001725 | $0.172481 | $0.776165 | 0.00% | Extreme Fear |
What could move price in either direction over the modeling window.
- Listed on every Tier-1 exchange (Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, OKX).
- 7-day return: +6.9%, breakout above recent range.
- Currently 94.4% below ATH — historical mean-reversion candidate.
- 30-day return: -31.2%, distribution phase.
- Regulatory headlines remain the largest discretionary risk.
Run your own assumptions ↓
Signals beneath the price
Momentum indicators, correlation against the broader market, recent volatility, and what a hypothetical position would have done.
Last 30 days, daily OHLC.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | %Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16 | $0.177099 | $0.178701 | $0.175708 | $0.178609 | +0.85% |
| Jun 16 | $0.178510 | $0.178938 | $0.175833 | $0.177080 | -0.80% |
| Jun 16 | $0.185792 | $0.186055 | $0.177701 | $0.178492 | -3.93% |
| Jun 15 | $0.188623 | $0.189102 | $0.185720 | $0.185837 | -1.48% |
| Jun 15 | $0.184844 | $0.189028 | $0.184771 | $0.188631 | +2.05% |
| Jun 15 | $0.180105 | $0.184820 | $0.180105 | $0.184517 | +2.45% |
| Jun 15 | $0.181299 | $0.181582 | $0.179682 | $0.180375 | -0.51% |
| Jun 15 | $0.182892 | $0.185609 | $0.179838 | $0.181349 | -0.84% |
| Jun 15 | $0.166006 | $0.182815 | $0.165905 | $0.182815 | +10.13% |
| Jun 14 | $0.166858 | $0.167436 | $0.165927 | $0.165927 | -0.56% |
| Jun 14 | $0.169868 | $0.169868 | $0.165954 | $0.166873 | -1.76% |
| Jun 14 | $0.171186 | $0.171606 | $0.169626 | $0.170018 | -0.68% |
| Jun 14 | $0.173105 | $0.173105 | $0.171039 | $0.171183 | -1.11% |
| Jun 14 | $0.171693 | $0.173285 | $0.171533 | $0.173138 | +0.84% |
| Jun 14 | $0.172200 | $0.173119 | $0.171378 | $0.171539 | -0.38% |
| Jun 13 | $0.174838 | $0.174838 | $0.171752 | $0.172570 | -1.30% |
| Jun 13 | $0.173333 | $0.175384 | $0.173181 | $0.174698 | +0.79% |
| Jun 13 | $0.173117 | $0.173523 | $0.172305 | $0.173139 | +0.01% |
| Jun 13 | $0.170455 | $0.173295 | $0.169203 | $0.173168 | +1.59% |
| Jun 13 | $0.169735 | $0.172947 | $0.169555 | $0.170420 | +0.40% |
| Jun 13 | $0.170768 | $0.170962 | $0.168896 | $0.169768 | -0.59% |
| Jun 12 | $0.170740 | $0.173754 | $0.170266 | $0.170773 | +0.02% |
| Jun 12 | $0.171000 | $0.173628 | $0.168021 | $0.171616 | +0.36% |
| Jun 12 | $0.168732 | $0.171829 | $0.168732 | $0.170849 | +1.25% |
| Jun 12 | $0.171502 | $0.172749 | $0.168202 | $0.168354 | -1.84% |
| Jun 12 | $0.170309 | $0.171206 | $0.168901 | $0.171206 | +0.53% |
| Jun 12 | $0.169052 | $0.171164 | $0.167682 | $0.170325 | +0.75% |
| Jun 11 | $0.165729 | $0.170265 | $0.164231 | $0.169299 | +2.15% |
| Jun 11 | $0.166805 | $0.166903 | $0.164502 | $0.165681 | -0.67% |
| Jun 11 | $0.166454 | $0.167605 | $0.165357 | $0.166721 | +0.16% |
| Jun 11 | $0.166547 | $0.167107 | $0.164320 | $0.166248 | -0.18% |
| Jun 11 | $0.160675 | $0.164326 | $0.160675 | $0.164326 | +2.27% |
| Jun 11 | $0.160761 | $0.161274 | $0.158872 | $0.160924 | +0.10% |
| Jun 10 | $0.165003 | $0.165003 | $0.160474 | $0.160684 | -2.62% |
| Jun 10 | $0.159478 | $0.165826 | $0.159308 | $0.164654 | +3.25% |
| Jun 10 | $0.161379 | $0.161379 | $0.158982 | $0.159739 | -1.02% |
| Jun 10 | $0.162191 | $0.162622 | $0.160146 | $0.161560 | -0.39% |
| Jun 10 | $0.165269 | $0.166268 | $0.161756 | $0.162233 | -1.84% |
| Jun 10 | $0.168565 | $0.169123 | $0.165088 | $0.165188 | -2.00% |
| Jun 9 | $0.163221 | $0.168288 | $0.161622 | $0.168282 | +3.10% |
| Jun 9 | $0.167421 | $0.169278 | $0.163615 | $0.163615 | -2.27% |
| Jun 9 | $0.170137 | $0.170137 | $0.166943 | $0.167412 | -1.60% |
| Jun 9 | $0.166246 | $0.170653 | $0.165716 | $0.170111 | +2.32% |
| Jun 9 | $0.170344 | $0.170446 | $0.165875 | $0.166057 | -2.52% |
| Jun 9 | $0.171688 | $0.173821 | $0.169180 | $0.170395 | -0.75% |
| Jun 8 | $0.169260 | $0.172060 | $0.167479 | $0.171745 | +1.47% |
| Jun 8 | $0.167470 | $0.170499 | $0.165592 | $0.169966 | +1.49% |
| Jun 8 | $0.163629 | $0.167747 | $0.162474 | $0.167313 | +2.25% |
| Jun 8 | $0.163897 | $0.163897 | $0.160234 | $0.163463 | -0.26% |
| Jun 8 | $0.165068 | $0.165946 | $0.161839 | $0.163763 | -0.79% |
| Jun 8 | $0.158578 | $0.166678 | $0.158578 | $0.165113 | +4.12% |
| Jun 7 | $0.161936 | $0.163682 | $0.158183 | $0.158561 | -2.08% |
| Jun 7 | $0.164769 | $0.164769 | $0.161084 | $0.162198 | -1.56% |
| Jun 7 | $0.162311 | $0.166437 | $0.161998 | $0.164991 | +1.65% |
| Jun 7 | $0.161413 | $0.162289 | $0.159949 | $0.162289 | +0.54% |
| Jun 7 | $0.157150 | $0.161719 | $0.156947 | $0.161093 | +2.51% |
| Jun 7 | $0.156920 | $0.158301 | $0.156031 | $0.156983 | +0.04% |
| Jun 6 | $0.158241 | $0.159768 | $0.156852 | $0.156852 | -0.88% |
| Jun 6 | $0.156239 | $0.161290 | $0.155380 | $0.158089 | +1.18% |
| Jun 6 | $0.157418 | $0.159584 | $0.153935 | $0.156406 | -0.64% |
| Jun 6 | $0.155216 | $0.157888 | $0.149353 | $0.157569 | +1.52% |
| Jun 6 | $0.156624 | $0.161827 | $0.154729 | $0.155053 | -1.00% |
| Jun 6 | $0.160693 | $0.163305 | $0.155729 | $0.156707 | -2.48% |
| Jun 5 | $0.157361 | $0.162878 | $0.155907 | $0.160853 | +2.22% |
| Jun 5 | $0.162298 | $0.164142 | $0.157566 | $0.157566 | -2.92% |
| Jun 5 | $0.163570 | $0.165120 | $0.159194 | $0.162626 | -0.58% |
| Jun 5 | $0.158629 | $0.167845 | $0.158433 | $0.164405 | +3.64% |
| Jun 5 | $0.179661 | $0.179661 | $0.159543 | $0.159543 | -11.20% |
| Jun 5 | $0.186305 | $0.186305 | $0.179663 | $0.179663 | -3.57% |
| Jun 4 | $0.189020 | $0.189677 | $0.186103 | $0.186371 | -1.40% |
| Jun 4 | $0.189885 | $0.191988 | $0.187621 | $0.189218 | -0.35% |
| Jun 4 | $0.195166 | $0.195166 | $0.187403 | $0.189559 | -2.87% |
| Jun 4 | $0.199758 | $0.200334 | $0.195618 | $0.195723 | -2.02% |
| Jun 4 | $0.200361 | $0.201225 | $0.189967 | $0.199621 | -0.37% |
| Jun 4 | $0.204613 | $0.205517 | $0.200404 | $0.200712 | -1.91% |
| Jun 3 | $0.211642 | $0.211642 | $0.205236 | $0.205236 | -3.03% |
| Jun 3 | $0.215893 | $0.215996 | $0.211751 | $0.211751 | -1.92% |
| Jun 3 | $0.217026 | $0.217899 | $0.215331 | $0.215812 | -0.56% |
| Jun 3 | $0.208712 | $0.217537 | $0.208712 | $0.217214 | +4.07% |
| Jun 3 | $0.212523 | $0.214007 | $0.208430 | $0.208522 | -1.88% |
| Jun 3 | $0.215729 | $0.217528 | $0.210542 | $0.212235 | -1.62% |
| Jun 2 | $0.214894 | $0.218528 | $0.213563 | $0.216201 | +0.61% |
| Jun 2 | $0.222994 | $0.223187 | $0.214532 | $0.214532 | -3.79% |
| Jun 2 | $0.223934 | $0.224065 | $0.222554 | $0.223082 | -0.38% |
| Jun 2 | $0.227565 | $0.227773 | $0.222954 | $0.223922 | -1.60% |
| Jun 2 | $0.230540 | $0.230762 | $0.224970 | $0.227379 | -1.37% |
| Jun 2 | $0.231255 | $0.231255 | $0.228513 | $0.230658 | -0.26% |
| Jun 1 | $0.226815 | $0.231385 | $0.226376 | $0.231349 | +2.00% |
| Jun 1 | $0.230161 | $0.230933 | $0.225632 | $0.226950 | -1.40% |
| Jun 1 | $0.230859 | $0.231732 | $0.230499 | $0.230499 | -0.16% |
| Jun 1 | $0.236367 | $0.236851 | $0.231040 | $0.231040 | -2.25% |
| Jun 1 | $0.235326 | $0.236935 | $0.233076 | $0.236512 | +0.50% |
| Jun 1 | $0.232549 | $0.235846 | $0.232549 | $0.235112 | +1.10% |
| May 31 | $0.233747 | $0.233747 | $0.232011 | $0.232534 | -0.52% |
| May 31 | $0.236603 | $0.237467 | $0.233742 | $0.233995 | -1.10% |
| May 31 | $0.236307 | $0.237560 | $0.235750 | $0.236560 | +0.11% |
| May 31 | $0.237736 | $0.238238 | $0.236173 | $0.236173 | -0.66% |
| May 31 | $0.235462 | $0.237962 | $0.235444 | $0.237809 | +1.00% |
| May 31 | $0.237089 | $0.237993 | $0.235100 | $0.235375 | -0.72% |
| May 30 | $0.236252 | $0.237239 | $0.235707 | $0.237073 | +0.35% |
| May 30 | $0.234850 | $0.236391 | $0.234722 | $0.236391 | +0.66% |
| May 30 | $0.234882 | $0.235139 | $0.233913 | $0.234852 | -0.01% |
| May 30 | $0.236303 | $0.236369 | $0.233945 | $0.234687 | -0.68% |
| May 30 | $0.232638 | $0.238506 | $0.232574 | $0.236359 | +1.60% |
| May 30 | $0.232619 | $0.233337 | $0.231813 | $0.232573 | -0.02% |
| May 29 | $0.235377 | $0.235654 | $0.230895 | $0.232595 | -1.18% |
| May 29 | $0.232945 | $0.237034 | $0.230180 | $0.235327 | +1.02% |
| May 29 | $0.234345 | $0.235472 | $0.232847 | $0.232847 | -0.64% |
| May 29 | $0.233086 | $0.236069 | $0.232507 | $0.234002 | +0.39% |
| May 29 | $0.234543 | $0.235317 | $0.232819 | $0.233158 | -0.59% |
| May 29 | $0.234309 | $0.235563 | $0.233740 | $0.234310 | +0.00% |
| May 28 | $0.232498 | $0.236824 | $0.231653 | $0.234529 | +0.87% |
| May 28 | $0.229760 | $0.233207 | $0.229059 | $0.232627 | +1.25% |
| May 28 | $0.230968 | $0.231315 | $0.229362 | $0.229675 | -0.56% |
| May 28 | $0.231905 | $0.231905 | $0.228185 | $0.230846 | -0.46% |
| May 28 | $0.237039 | $0.237912 | $0.232827 | $0.232827 | -1.78% |
| May 28 | $0.240485 | $0.240560 | $0.236246 | $0.236912 | -1.49% |
| May 27 | $0.240971 | $0.241204 | $0.237830 | $0.240287 | -0.28% |
| May 27 | $0.239286 | $0.242095 | $0.237381 | $0.241063 | +0.74% |
| May 27 | $0.239885 | $0.240635 | $0.238843 | $0.239325 | -0.23% |
| May 27 | $0.239759 | $0.240300 | $0.237890 | $0.239732 | -0.01% |
| May 27 | $0.241221 | $0.241221 | $0.239295 | $0.239654 | -0.65% |
| May 27 | $0.239974 | $0.240163 | $0.239281 | $0.239771 | -0.08% |
| May 26 | $0.242109 | $0.242129 | $0.238548 | $0.240017 | -0.86% |
| May 26 | $0.244128 | $0.246669 | $0.241600 | $0.241600 | -1.04% |
| May 26 | $0.241124 | $0.244936 | $0.241124 | $0.244381 | +1.35% |
| May 26 | $0.240665 | $0.242383 | $0.240403 | $0.241333 | +0.28% |
| May 26 | $0.243429 | $0.243429 | $0.239553 | $0.240586 | -1.17% |
| May 26 | $0.245083 | $0.245724 | $0.242452 | $0.243469 | -0.66% |
| May 25 | $0.245769 | $0.247284 | $0.245012 | $0.245047 | -0.29% |
| May 25 | $0.244756 | $0.246327 | $0.244369 | $0.245509 | +0.31% |
| May 25 | $0.244493 | $0.245668 | $0.243892 | $0.244779 | +0.12% |
| May 25 | $0.240690 | $0.244420 | $0.240644 | $0.244211 | +1.46% |
| May 25 | $0.242076 | $0.242703 | $0.240393 | $0.240581 | -0.62% |
| May 25 | $0.242364 | $0.242364 | $0.238900 | $0.242273 | -0.04% |
| May 24 | $0.242685 | $0.243016 | $0.241940 | $0.242535 | -0.06% |
| May 24 | $0.245366 | $0.245366 | $0.241964 | $0.242713 | -1.08% |
| May 24 | $0.245002 | $0.245695 | $0.244873 | $0.245433 | +0.18% |
| May 24 | $0.245131 | $0.246000 | $0.244909 | $0.245040 | -0.04% |
| May 24 | $0.245832 | $0.246426 | $0.244678 | $0.245092 | -0.30% |
| May 24 | $0.243949 | $0.249415 | $0.243667 | $0.245712 | +0.72% |
| May 23 | $0.242032 | $0.244564 | $0.241667 | $0.243798 | +0.73% |
| May 23 | $0.237985 | $0.243356 | $0.237695 | $0.241766 | +1.59% |
| May 23 | $0.237326 | $0.239011 | $0.237228 | $0.237999 | +0.28% |
| May 23 | $0.243565 | $0.243565 | $0.237452 | $0.237452 | -2.51% |
| May 23 | $0.242409 | $0.243734 | $0.242075 | $0.243687 | +0.53% |
| May 23 | $0.244451 | $0.246382 | $0.242157 | $0.242253 | -0.90% |
| May 22 | $0.249468 | $0.249757 | $0.242792 | $0.244301 | -2.07% |
| May 22 | $0.252222 | $0.253976 | $0.248631 | $0.249240 | -1.18% |
| May 22 | $0.251393 | $0.252241 | $0.250760 | $0.252241 | +0.34% |
| May 22 | $0.251493 | $0.252527 | $0.249573 | $0.251638 | +0.06% |
| May 22 | $0.250312 | $0.251506 | $0.249063 | $0.251466 | +0.46% |
| May 22 | $0.252196 | $0.252757 | $0.250125 | $0.250471 | -0.68% |
| May 21 | $0.248246 | $0.252945 | $0.247805 | $0.252125 | +1.56% |
| May 21 | $0.246629 | $0.248808 | $0.246424 | $0.248353 | +0.70% |
| May 21 | $0.248920 | $0.249951 | $0.246347 | $0.246747 | -0.87% |
| May 21 | $0.251835 | $0.252127 | $0.247728 | $0.248797 | -1.21% |
| May 21 | $0.248977 | $0.251789 | $0.248873 | $0.251622 | +1.06% |
| May 21 | $0.249984 | $0.250404 | $0.248310 | $0.248900 | -0.43% |
| May 20 | $0.250024 | $0.250676 | $0.248180 | $0.249940 | -0.03% |
| May 20 | $0.248604 | $0.250815 | $0.247674 | $0.250294 | +0.68% |
| May 20 | $0.248897 | $0.249886 | $0.248554 | $0.248554 | -0.14% |
| May 20 | $0.248047 | $0.250195 | $0.247757 | $0.248936 | +0.36% |
| May 20 | $0.248133 | $0.248253 | $0.246929 | $0.247988 | -0.06% |
| May 20 | $0.248170 | $0.249410 | $0.247652 | $0.248450 | +0.11% |
| May 19 | $0.248142 | $0.249584 | $0.247931 | $0.248267 | +0.05% |
| May 19 | $0.248493 | $0.250427 | $0.247741 | $0.248410 | -0.03% |
| May 19 | $0.252372 | $0.252372 | $0.248328 | $0.248538 | -1.52% |
| May 19 | $0.251414 | $0.252552 | $0.250701 | $0.252441 | +0.41% |
| May 19 | $0.251293 | $0.252565 | $0.250555 | $0.251738 | +0.18% |
| May 19 | $0.250683 | $0.252432 | $0.249763 | $0.251239 | +0.22% |
| May 18 | $0.248180 | $0.250621 | $0.246978 | $0.250621 | +0.98% |
| May 18 | $0.250502 | $0.251967 | $0.246785 | $0.248244 | -0.90% |
| May 18 | $0.249253 | $0.251028 | $0.248109 | $0.250595 | +0.54% |
| May 18 | $0.249969 | $0.251597 | $0.248047 | $0.249128 | -0.34% |
| May 18 | $0.251963 | $0.252489 | $0.249466 | $0.249997 | -0.78% |
| May 18 | $0.255157 | $0.255546 | $0.249281 | $0.250828 | -1.70% |
| May 17 | $0.255172 | $0.255225 | $0.253317 | $0.255210 | +0.01% |
| May 17 | $0.256526 | $0.256919 | $0.254223 | $0.255232 | -0.50% |
| May 17 | $0.256221 | $0.257748 | $0.255524 | $0.256584 | +0.14% |
A hypothetical $1,000 in ADA over three windows. Before fees, spread, and tax.
About Cardano
What it is, how the network operates, supply economics, network state, and community signals.
Cardano is a blockchain platform built on academic research that enables smart contracts and decentralized applications while using significantly less energy than traditional cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
What sets Cardano apart is its methodical, research-driven approach — every major feature is peer-reviewed by scientists and cryptographers before being added to the network. This careful process aims to create a more secure and stable foundation compared to platforms that prioritize speed over thorough testing. The platform's native cryptocurrency, ADA, is used to send money, pay transaction fees, and participate in network governance.
Cardano uses a proof-of-stake system to process transactions, which works differently from Bitcoin's mining approach. Instead of competing to solve complex puzzles, users can "stake" their ADA — essentially locking it up temporarily — to become validators who verify transactions. The system selects validators based on how much ADA they've staked and for how long, then rewards them with additional ADA for their participation. This approach uses far less energy than traditional mining while keeping the network secure. The platform also features a two-layer design that separates basic payment transactions from smart contract operations, allowing each function to be optimized independently for better performance.
- Launched
- Sep 2017 (8.7 years ago)
- Category
- Smart Contract Platform · Layer 1 (L1) · Cardano Ecosystem
- Website
- cardano.org →
- GitHub
- input-output-hk/cardano-sl →
Supply distribution and valuation metrics.
- Market Cap
- $6.42B
- Fully Diluted
- $7.24B
- MC / FDV
- 88.7%
- Spot price
- $0.172481
GitHub activity is a long-horizon health signal — abandoned projects rarely survive bear markets.
Audience reach across major platforms — a coarse engagement signal.
Top venues for ADA
Ranked by 24-hour USD volume across CoinGecko's tracked venues. Spreads and trade links shown for the top 10.
| # | Exchange | Pair | Price | 24h Volume | Share | Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Binance | ADA/USDT | $0.160720 | $52.27M | 0.04% | trade → | |
| 2 | AscendEX (BitMax) | ADA/USDT | $0.160784 | $32.81M | 0.16% | trade → | |
| 3 | Pionex | ADA/USDT | $0.160836 | $28.89M | 0.06% | trade → | |
| 4 | Bybit | ADA/USDT | $0.160920 | $27.68M | 0.06% | trade → | |
| 5 | Coinbase Exchange | ADA/USD | $0.160800 | $23.16M | 0.06% | trade → | |
| 6 | WhiteBIT | ADA/USDT | $0.160868 | $22.40M | 0.08% | trade → | |
| 7 | Gate | ADA/USDT | $0.160784 | $20.61M | 0.03% | trade → | |
| 8 | Deepcoin | ADA/USDT | $0.160725 | $19.88M | 0.06% | trade → | |
| 9 | XT.COM | ADA/USDT | $0.160736 | $19.78M | 0.06% | trade → | |
| 10 | Biconomy.com | ADA/USDT | $0.160736 | $17.87M | 0.06% | trade → |
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Latest about Cardano
Recent headlines from major crypto outlets and our own coverage on TheWeal.
Quick answers about Cardano
The common questions, answered with today's data.
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Live price + market data: CoinGecko (~60s refresh). Deep data: CoinGecko, CoinPaprika, GitHub, and (Bitcoin only) mempool.space + blockchain.info, refreshed daily. News: aggregated from CoinTelegraph, Decrypt, The Block, Bitcoin Magazine, and Crypto.News RSS feeds. Sentiment: Alternative.me. Scenario forecasts are TheWeal's proprietary model — read the methodology.