Thursday, May 28, 2026 F&G 22 · Extreme Fear
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Stablecoins: what they are, how they work, the risks

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A stablecoin is a cryptocurrency designed to maintain a stable value, usually pegged to USD. Stablecoins are the dollar layer of crypto — they let you hold or transact in dollar-denominated value on a blockchain without exposure to crypto-asset volatility. Total stablecoin supply hit $190B in 2026.

The main types

Fully-reserved fiat-backed

The issuer holds USD (or short-dated Treasuries) one-for-one with the stablecoin supply. Each issued coin is backed by a real dollar somewhere. Examples: USDC (Circle), USDP (Paxos), TUSD (Trust Company of America). USDT (Tether) describes itself this way; reserve composition has been less transparent historically though attestations have improved.

Risk: issuer fraud, custodian failure, regulatory action against the issuer. USDC briefly de-pegged in March 2023 when its custodian Silicon Valley Bank failed; recovered within days when bank rescue was confirmed.

Collateral-backed (on-chain)

The stablecoin is minted against on-chain collateral — typically ETH or other crypto assets — held in over-collateralised positions. The canonical example is DAI (MakerDAO/Sky). To mint $100 of DAI, you lock up roughly $150 of ETH; if your ETH value falls toward $110, your position can be liquidated to redeem the DAI.

Risk: extreme crypto price drawdowns can cause cascading liquidations; smart-contract risk in the collateralisation mechanism.

Algorithmic

The peg is maintained by automated buy/sell mechanisms with no full collateral backing. Terra UST was the canonical example until its catastrophic depeg in May 2022 ($60B+ of value destroyed in 3 days). No major algorithmic stablecoin maintains a stable USD peg today; the design pattern is broadly considered failed.

Why people use them

  • Trading. Most crypto trading pairs are denominated in USDT or USDC. You exit a trade into stablecoins, not back to fiat.
  • Remittances. Send dollar-denominated value internationally for fractions of a cent, in seconds. Tron USDT is doing real cross-border work in emerging markets.
  • On-chain savings. DeFi protocols offer interest on stablecoin deposits — 4–6% APY on USDC in Aave is common, with smart-contract risk.
  • Avoiding local currency risk. Useful in jurisdictions with high inflation or capital controls (Argentina, Turkey, Nigeria).

The risks you should think about

  1. De-pegging. A stablecoin trading below $1 is a sign of trouble. Brief depegs (0.1–0.5%) are common and recover; sustained depegs are dangerous.
  2. Issuer concentration. Tether alone is 62% of stablecoin supply. A Tether confidence event would be the largest single risk to crypto liquidity.
  3. Regulatory action. Stablecoin issuance is heavily regulated under MiCA in the EU. US legislation has been “imminent” for years.
  4. Custodian failure. For fully-reserved stables, the reserves sit at a bank. The 2023 SVB episode is the cautionary tale.
  5. Smart-contract risk in DeFi. Depositing stablecoins in lending protocols exposes you to additional risk on top of the stablecoin’s own.

Stablecoins are not the same risk profile as USD

Holding $10k in a US savings account: insured up to $250k by FDIC, near-zero risk of nominal loss, US-government-grade reliability.

Holding $10k of USDT in your wallet: depends on Tether’s reserves, Tether’s legal status, and the broader stablecoin regulatory environment. Risk is real and non-trivial, especially at the long-end of the supply curve.

Stablecoins are stable compared to other crypto, not stable in absolute terms.

Picking a stablecoin

  • For trading volume: USDT (most pairs on most exchanges)
  • For US-jurisdiction comfort: USDC (regulated, audited monthly)
  • For decentralisation: DAI (on-chain collateral, decentralised governance)
  • For EU compliance: EURC, USDC (MiCA-compliant issuance)

Where to go next

Not financial advice.